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Bitcoin Back to $100K? Key Drivers You Need to Know

May 21, 2025

Beginner
Bitcoin
Crypto Investing
3D rocket-shaped BTC with four fuel tanks (halving, ETF, adoption, scarcity) in this color (_Key Future:Green_ HEX -A0FF00_Background:Blue_ HEX -142032 & Black_ HEX -000000)  without  word_.jpg

The $100,000 mark has long been seen as a psychological milestone for Bitcoin. With ETF approvals, the recent halving event, increasing institutional adoption, and growing macroeconomic uncertainty, Bitcoin is once again at the centre of bullish conversations. This article explores the key drivers behind a potential price surge, the associated risks, and how investors should prepare.

Why Bitcoin Could Return to $100K

Bitcoin has seen several bull and bear cycles, with different factors driving each rally. In today’s environment, a few core themes are fueling the narrative for Bitcoin’s next potential breakout:

  • Inflation Hedge & Fiat Concerns: With growing global money supply and inflationary pressure, Bitcoin is being adopted as a scarce, digital store of value.

  • Spot ETF Approvals: Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US and Hong Kong have opened the gates for traditional capital, driving mainstream inflows.

  • Block Reward Halving: In April 2024, Bitcoin’s mining rewards halved from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC per block, reducing supply pressure.

  • Institutional Participation: Family offices, funds, and asset managers are increasingly allocating Bitcoin as part of their portfolios.

Catalysts That Could Accelerate the Surge

Beyond the fundamentals, several potential catalysts could speed up Bitcoin’s move toward $100K:

  • US Fed rate cuts or a return to QE

  • Emerging market currency crises pushing capital into hard assets

  • Global infrastructure upgrades (e.g. Visa/SWIFT integrating blockchain)

  • Clearer regulatory frameworks reducing institutional hesitation

When these catalysts overlap with Bitcoin-native events (e.g. halving, network upgrades), they can produce rapid upside momentum.

Risks and Challenges

Despite bullish sentiment, investors should remain aware of potential setbacks:

  • Regulatory uncertainty: Strict policy moves from the SEC, EU, or Asia could dampen sentiment and liquidity.

  • Liquidity shocks: A global financial crisis or economic recession could pull capital out of volatile assets like crypto.

  • Black swan events: Exchange hacks, smart contract bugs, or systemic failures could cause sudden selloffs.

  • Overleveraged markets: Heavy speculative leverage increases liquidation risk during volatility.

How Should Investors Prepare?

If you believe Bitcoin may retest or break $100K, consider the following strategies:

  • DCA and hold long-term: Use dollar-cost averaging to reduce entry risk

  • Track on-chain and macro indicators: Monitor BTC inflows/outflows, wallet activity, and Fed policy direction

  • Diversify across asset classes: Don’t overexpose your portfolio to crypto alone

  • Use regulated trading and custody platforms: Prioritise safety and compliance

  • Manage expectations and risk: Stay calm during drawdowns and avoid panic buying during hype

Conclusion

Whether or not Bitcoin hits $100K in the near term, its role as a hedge, a scarce asset, and a decentralised store of value is gaining global recognition. The path may not be smooth, but the structural support for digital assets continues to build.

If you understand the logic behind Bitcoin’s growth, you’ll be better prepared to navigate its volatility — and capture the upside when the time comes.

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